If you’re into college basketball betting or simply enjoy watching the games, you’ve undoubtedly been following the Final Four run of Virginia Commonwealth. But just how improbable has it been? So much so that it should have ended before it started, in fact.
The VCU Rams had lost the final of their conference tournament to Old Dominion, a result that many thought would spell the end of their season. In fact, the team was such a long-shot to be awarded an at-large bid to the tournament that the players went out for burgers instead of watching the selection show. But VCU was picked to the inaugural four team play-in round to face off USC, a program with a big tradition. The Rams won the game, but they were only getting started. In the opening weekend of the 64-team tournament as an 11 seed, they downed Georgetown from the powerful Big East without batting an eye.
These first two games were fun to watch, but it would surely come to an end in VCU’s next matchup with 3rd seeded Purdue, one of the best teams in the nation. The betting world agreed, as the Boilermakers were a 9.5 point favorite. VCU didn’t only cover the spread, they won outright by 18 points!
After beating Florida State in the next round, the Rams came up against Kansas and the oddsmakers were even less kind, making VCU 11.5 point underdogs. You might have thought that due to their earlier wins, they might be able to cover this amount, even though Kansas was a popular favorite to go all the way. VCU again stormed out to a lead and ended up winning again by 10 p0ints, stamping their ticket to the Final Four.
Should You Bet For the Run to Continue?
This whole story naturally leads to a question: should you bet for VCU in the Final Four because it seems that they can’t be beat? Before jumping on the bandwagon, there a few important points to consider. Although the first wins were indeed spectacular, this latest victory against the 1 seed Kansas raises VCU to a completely different level. The entire nation will be much more aware of them, which will be evident in the betting lines. Also, their opponents are Butler, who as an 8 seed, are on a quite improbable run themselves, having beaten both Pitt and Wisconsin. As such, this matchup will be much different than the David vs. Goliath battle that the Rams just won, so you won’t be looking at the same type of point spread.
Indeed, Butler is the favorite over VCU, but only by -2.5 points.
VCU is currently at 9/2 to win the championship (+450)
If you’re confident that VCU will continue the run, or if you think their time is up, head on over to your favorite online betting site like Bodog.com before Saturday’s games.